Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.034733 0.037864 0.041018 0.044425 0.047997 0.051625 0.055582
2025-11-23 0.030557 0.035257 0.040145 0.045583 0.051441 0.057540 0.064349
2025-11-30 0.027271 0.033128 0.039394 0.046540 0.054413 0.062775 0.072279
2025-12-07 0.024441 0.031157 0.038530 0.047128 0.056786 0.067215 0.079247
2025-12-14 0.021828 0.029158 0.037407 0.047225 0.058446 0.070744 0.085112
2025-12-21 0.020240 0.028173 0.037295 0.048340 0.061148 0.075350 0.092113
2025-12-28 0.017847 0.026032 0.035672 0.047565 0.061568 0.077289 0.096039
2026-01-04 0.016278 0.024765 0.034976 0.047777 0.063045 0.080363 0.101196
2026-01-11 0.015129 0.023929 0.034722 0.048447 0.065003 0.083948 0.106903
2026-01-18 0.014077 0.023133 0.034451 0.049042 0.066827 0.087345 0.112372
2026-01-25 0.012137 0.021030 0.032431 0.047396 0.065889 0.087447 0.113964
2026-02-01 0.010875 0.019751 0.031385 0.046891 0.066270 0.089057 0.117278
2026-02-08 0.009782 0.018654 0.030546 0.046639 0.066977 0.091089 0.121145
2026-02-15 0.009380 0.018520 0.030967 0.047989 0.069662 0.095500 0.127846
2026-02-22 0.008907 0.018246 0.031177 0.049052 0.071985 0.099478 0.134046
2026-03-01 0.008329 0.017770 0.031082 0.049695 0.073770 0.102799 0.139464
2026-03-08 0.007626 0.017050 0.030610 0.049813 0.074870 0.105274 0.143861
2026-03-15 0.007305 0.016907 0.030932 0.050973 0.077288 0.109360 0.150201
2026-03-22 0.006429 0.015795 0.029825 0.050177 0.077173 0.110312 0.152741
2026-03-29 0.005913 0.015239 0.029487 0.050397 0.078349 0.112844 0.157188
2026-04-05 0.005562 0.014939 0.029506 0.051091 0.080127 0.116118 0.162535
2026-04-12 0.005217 0.014619 0.029478 0.051705 0.081794 0.119251 0.167712
2026-04-19 0.004349 0.013264 0.027824 0.050006 0.080385 0.118504 0.168111